Nottingham Forest v Southampton, Premier League 2022–23
Nott'm ForestNottingham Forest
Awoniyi 18', 21'Gibbs-White 44' penaltySantos 73'
Final score 4 to 3
Expected goals 1.9 to 3.3
SouthamptonSouthampton
Alcaraz 25'Lyanco 51'Ward-Prowse 90+6' penalty
- Date Monday, May 8, 2023
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 8. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Nott'm Forest favored. Nott'm Forest win 41%, draw 26%, Southampton win 33%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 8. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Nott'm Forest | Southampton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.9 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 3.3 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 0.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.1 | ||