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Southampton v Arsenal, Premier League 2022–23

SouthamptonSouthampton

Armstrong 65'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 0.8 to 0.8

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Xhaka 11'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Southampton win 22%, draw 24%, Arsenal win 54%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 23. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Southampton and Arsenal
SouthamptonArsenal
0.80.8
1Goals1
1.31.4