Arsenal v Liverpool, Premier League 2023–24
ArsenalArsenal
Saka 14'Martinelli 67'Trossard 90+2'
Final score 3 to 1
Expected goals 2.1 to 0.6
LiverpoolLiverpool
Magalhães 45+3' (OG)
- Date Sunday, February 4, 2024
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 4. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 45%, draw 23%, Liverpool win 32%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Liverpool | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.6 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.5 | ||