Aston Villa v Arsenal, Premier League 2023–24
Aston VillaAston Villa
McGinn 7'
Final score 1 to 0
Expected goals 0.6 to 1.3
ArsenalArsenal
- Date Saturday, December 9, 2023
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 9. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Aston Villa win 37%, draw 22%, Arsenal win 41%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 9. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.3 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 0.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.9 | ||