Aston Villa v Brentford, Premier League 2023–24
Aston VillaAston Villa
Watkins 38', 80'Rogers 46'
Final score 3 to 3
Expected goals 1.4 to 0.8
BrentfordBrentford
Jørgensen 59'Mbeumo 61'Wissa 68'
- Date Saturday, April 6, 2024
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 6. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 49%, draw 23%, Brentford win 28%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 6. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Brentford | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.8 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 1.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.9 | ||