Aston Villa v Burnley, Premier League 2023–24
Aston VillaAston Villa
Bailey 28'Diaby 42'Luiz 89' penalty
Final score 3 to 2
Expected goals 2.3 to 1.1
BurnleyBurnley
Amdouni 31'Foster 71'
- Date Saturday, December 30, 2023
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 30. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 71%, draw 17%, Burnley win 12%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 30. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Burnley | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.1 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 2.1 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.7 | ||