Aston Villa v Everton, Premier League 2023–24
Aston VillaAston Villa
McGinn 18'Luiz 24' penaltyBailey 51'Durán 75'
Final score 4 to 0
Expected goals 2.1 to 1.0
EvertonEverton
- Date Sunday, August 20, 2023
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 20. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 54%, draw 22%, Everton win 24%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 20. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Everton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.0 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 2.1 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.7 | ||