Aston Villa v Manchester City, Premier League 2023–24
Aston VillaAston Villa
Bailey 74'
Final score 1 to 0
Expected goals 1.8 to 0.3
Man CityManchester City
- Date Wednesday, December 6, 2023
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 6. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Aston Villa win 24%, draw 20%, Man City win 56%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 6. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Man City | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.3 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 2.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.4 | ||