Aston Villa v Manchester United, Premier League 2023–24
Aston VillaAston Villa
Luiz 67'
Final score 1 to 2
Expected goals 2.8 to 1.7
Man UnitedManchester United
Højlund 17'McTominay 86'
- Date Sunday, February 11, 2024
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 11. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 52%, draw 23%, Man United win 25%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 11. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Man United | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.7 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 2.0 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.8 | ||