Aston Villa v Newcastle United, Premier League 2023–24
Aston VillaAston Villa
Watkins 71'
Final score 1 to 3
Expected goals 1.2 to 2.7
NewcastleNewcastle United
Schär 32', 36'Moreno 52' (OG)
- Date Tuesday, January 30, 2024
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 30. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 47%, draw 22%, Newcastle win 31%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 30. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Newcastle | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.7 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 0.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.2 | ||