Chelsea v Manchester United, Premier League 2023–24
ChelseaChelsea
Gallagher 4'Palmer 19' penalty, 90+10' penalty, 90+11'
Final score 4 to 3
Expected goals 4.1 to 1.5
Man UnitedManchester United
Garnacho 34', 67'Fernandes 39'
- Date Thursday, April 4, 2024
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 4. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 52%, draw 22%, Man United win 26%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chelsea | Man United | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.5 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 2.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.4 | ||