Everton v Burnley, Premier League 2023–24
EvertonEverton
Calvert-Lewin 45+2'
Final score 1 to 0
Expected goals 1.3 to 0.5
BurnleyBurnley
- Date Saturday, April 6, 2024
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 6. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Everton favored. Everton win 61%, draw 22%, Burnley win 17%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 6. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Everton | Burnley | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.5 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 2.0 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.7 | ||