Liverpool v Manchester City, Premier League 2023–24
LiverpoolLiverpool
Mac Allister 50' penalty
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 2.4 to 0.9
Man CityManchester City
Stones 23'
- Date Sunday, March 10, 2024
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 10. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Liverpool favored. Liverpool win 40%, draw 24%, Man City win 36%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 10. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Liverpool | Man City | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.9 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.5 | ||