Luton Town v Arsenal, Premier League 2023–24
LutonLuton Town
Osho 25'Adebayo 49'Barkley 57'
Final score 3 to 4
Expected goals 0.5 to 2.2
ArsenalArsenal
Martinelli 20'Jesus 45'Havertz 60'Rice 90+7'
- Date Tuesday, December 5, 2023
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 5. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Luton win 12%, draw 15%, Arsenal win 73%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 5. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Luton | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.2 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 4 | ||
| 0.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.5 | ||