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Luton Town v Manchester City, Premier League 2023–24

LutonLuton Town

Adebayo 45+2'

Final score 1 to 2

Expected goals 0.4 to 1.6

Full time

Man CityManchester City

Silva 62'Grealish 65'

Win chances: Man City favored. Luton win 7%, draw 11%, Man City win 82%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 10. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Luton and Man City
LutonMan City
0.41.6
1Goals2
0.52.2