Manchester City v Aston Villa, Premier League 2023–24
Man CityManchester City
Rodri 11'Foden 45+1', 62', 69'
Final score 4 to 1
Expected goals 2.5 to 0.9
Aston VillaAston Villa
Durán 20'
- Date Wednesday, April 3, 2024
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 3. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 70%, draw 18%, Aston Villa win 12%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 3. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man City | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.9 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.5 | ||