Manchester City v Burnley, Premier League 2023–24
Man CityManchester City
Álvarez 16', 22'Rodri 46'
Final score 3 to 1
Expected goals 1.5 to 1.0
BurnleyBurnley
Al Dakhil 90+3'
- Date Wednesday, January 31, 2024
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 31. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 86%, draw 10%, Burnley win 4%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 31. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man City | Burnley | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.0 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.0 | ||