Manchester City v Newcastle United, Premier League 2023–24
Man CityManchester City
Álvarez 31'
Final score 1 to 0
Expected goals 1.0 to 0.4
NewcastleNewcastle United
- Date Saturday, August 19, 2023
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 19. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 63%, draw 19%, Newcastle win 18%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 19. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man City | Newcastle | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.4 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 1.9 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.8 | ||