Manchester United v Aston Villa, Premier League 2023–24
Man UnitedManchester United
Garnacho 59', 71'Højlund 82'
Final score 3 to 2
Expected goals 1.3 to 1.3
Aston VillaAston Villa
McGinn 21'Dendoncker 26'
- Date Tuesday, December 26, 2023
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 26. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man United favored. Man United win 42%, draw 23%, Aston Villa win 35%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 26. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man United | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.3 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.4 | ||