Newcastle United v Luton Town, Premier League 2023–24
NewcastleNewcastle United
Longstaff 7', 23'Trippier 67'Barnes 73'
Final score 4 to 4
Expected goals 2.9 to 2.4
LutonLuton Town
Osho 21'Barkley 40'Morris 59' penaltyAdebayo 62'
- Date Saturday, February 3, 2024
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 3. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 77%, draw 13%, Luton win 10%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 3. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Newcastle | Luton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.9 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.4 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 4 | ||
| 1.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.2 | ||