Newcastle United v Nottingham Forest, Premier League 2023–24
NewcastleNewcastle United
Isak 23' penalty
Final score 1 to 3
Expected goals 2.4 to 2.6
Nott'm ForestNottingham Forest
Wood 45+1', 53', 60'
- Date Tuesday, December 26, 2023
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 26. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 74%, draw 15%, Nott'm Forest win 11%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 26. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Newcastle | Nott'm Forest | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.6 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 1.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.5 | ||