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Nottingham Forest v Arsenal, Premier League 2023–24

Nott'm ForestNottingham Forest

Awoniyi 89'

Final score 1 to 2

Expected goals 0.6 to 1.7

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Jesus 65'Saka 72'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Nott'm Forest win 20%, draw 22%, Arsenal win 58%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 30. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Nott'm Forest and Arsenal
Nott'm ForestArsenal
0.61.7
1Goals2
0.62.1