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Nottingham Forest v Newcastle United, Premier League 2023–24

Nott'm ForestNottingham Forest

Elanga 26'Hudson-Odoi 45+6'

Final score 2 to 3

Expected goals 1.4 to 0.8

Full time

NewcastleNewcastle United

Guimarães 10', 66'Schär 43'

Win chances: Newcastle favored. Nott'm Forest win 28%, draw 22%, Newcastle win 50%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 10. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Nott'm Forest and Newcastle
Nott'm ForestNewcastle
1.40.8
2Goals3
1.80.9