Arsenal v Aston Villa, Premier League 2024–25
ArsenalArsenal
Martinelli 35'Havertz 55'
Final score 2 to 2
Expected goals 1.8 to 0.9
Aston VillaAston Villa
Tielemans 60'Watkins 68'
- Date Saturday, January 18, 2025
- Premier League 2024–25
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 18. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 66%, draw 21%, Aston Villa win 13%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 18. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.9 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 2.0 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.8 | ||