Everton v Aston Villa, Premier League 2024–25
EvertonEverton
Final score 0 to 1
Expected goals 1.4 to 0.9
Aston VillaAston Villa
Watkins 51'
- Date Wednesday, January 15, 2025
- Premier League 2024–25
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 15. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Everton win 31%, draw 28%, Aston Villa win 41%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 15. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Everton | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.9 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.0 | ||