Leicester City v Newcastle United, Premier League 2024–25
LeicesterLeicester City
Final score 0 to 3
Expected goals 0.5 to 3.2
NewcastleNewcastle United
Murphy 2', 11'Barnes 34'
- Date Monday, April 7, 2025
- Premier League 2024–25
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 7. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Leicester win 15%, draw 19%, Newcastle win 66%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 7. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Leicester | Newcastle | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 3.2 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 0.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.7 | ||