Newcastle United v AFC Bournemouth, Premier League 2024–25
NewcastleNewcastle United
Guimarães 25'
Final score 1 to 4
Expected goals 0.9 to 2.4
BournemouthAFC Bournemouth
Kluivert 6', 44', 90+2'Kerkez 90+6'
- Date Saturday, January 18, 2025
- Premier League 2024–25
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 18. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 50%, draw 24%, Bournemouth win 26%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 18. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Newcastle | Bournemouth | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.9 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.4 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 4 | ||
| 0.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.3 | ||