Newcastle United v Manchester United, Premier League 2024–25
NewcastleNewcastle United
Tonali 24'Barnes 49', 64'Guimarães 77'
Final score 4 to 1
Expected goals 1.5 to 1.0
Man UnitedManchester United
Garnacho 37'
- Date Sunday, April 13, 2025
- Premier League 2024–25
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 13. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 56%, draw 21%, Man United win 23%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 13. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Newcastle | Man United | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.0 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.0 | ||