Southampton v Aston Villa, Premier League 2024–25
SouthamptonSouthampton
Final score 0 to 3
Expected goals 0.5 to 2.2
Aston VillaAston Villa
Watkins 73'Malen 79'McGinn 90+4'
- Date Saturday, April 12, 2025
- Premier League 2024–25
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 12. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Southampton win 14%, draw 18%, Aston Villa win 68%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 12. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Southampton | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.2 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 0.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.4 | ||