Southampton v Newcastle United, Premier League 2024–25
SouthamptonSouthampton
Bednarek 10'
Final score 1 to 3
Expected goals 0.7 to 2.3
NewcastleNewcastle United
Isak 26' penalty, 30'Tonali 51'
- Date Saturday, January 25, 2025
- Premier League 2024–25
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 25. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Southampton win 12%, draw 16%, Newcastle win 72%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 25. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Southampton | Newcastle | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.3 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 0.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.4 | ||