Arsenal v Aston Villa, Premier League 2025–26
ArsenalArsenal
Magalhães 48'Zubimendi 52'Trossard 69'Jesus 78'
Final score 4 to 1
Expected goals 3.1 to 2.1
Aston VillaAston Villa
Watkins 90+4'
- Date Tuesday, December 30, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 30. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 63%, draw 22%, Aston Villa win 15%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 30. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.1 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.9 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.9 | ||