Arsenal v Brentford, Premier League 2025–26
ArsenalArsenal
Merino 11'Saka 90+1'
Final score 2 to 0
Expected goals 1.8 to 0.4
BrentfordBrentford
- Date Wednesday, December 3, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 3. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 60%, draw 22%, Brentford win 18%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 3. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Brentford | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.4 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 2.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.4 | ||