Arsenal v Manchester United, Premier League 2025–26
ArsenalArsenal
Martínez 29' (OG)Merino 84'
Final score 2 to 3
Expected goals 1.7 to 0.7
Man UnitedManchester United
Mbeumo 37'Dorgu 50'Cunha 87'
- Date Sunday, January 25, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 25. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 61%, draw 23%, Man United win 16%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 25. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Man United | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.7 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.7 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 2.0 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.7 | ||