Aston Villa v Arsenal, Premier League 2025–26
Aston VillaAston Villa
Cash 36'Buendía 90+5'
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 2.3 to 1.3
ArsenalArsenal
Trossard 52'
- Date Saturday, December 6, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 6. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Aston Villa win 22%, draw 25%, Arsenal win 53%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 6. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.3 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.0 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.8 | ||