Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest, Premier League 2025–26
Aston VillaAston Villa
Watkins 45+1'McGinn 49', 73'
Final score 3 to 1
Expected goals 1.0 to 0.6
Nott'm ForestNottingham Forest
Gibbs-White 61'
- Date Saturday, January 3, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 3. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 52%, draw 25%, Nott'm Forest win 23%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 3. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Nott'm Forest | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.6 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.0 | ||