AFC Bournemouth v Arsenal, Premier League 2025–26
BournemouthAFC Bournemouth
Evanilson 10'Kroupi 76'
Final score 2 to 3
Expected goals 1.1 to 0.9
ArsenalArsenal
Magalhães 16'Rice 54', 71'
- Date Saturday, January 3, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 3. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Bournemouth win 24%, draw 25%, Arsenal win 51%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 3. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Bournemouth | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.9 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 1.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.2 | ||