Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston Villa, Premier League 2025–26
BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion
Paul van Hecke 9', 83'Torres 29' (OG)
Final score 3 to 4
Expected goals 2.0 to 2.3
Aston VillaAston Villa
Watkins 37', 45+7'Onana 60'Malen 78'
- Date Wednesday, December 3, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 3. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Brighton favored. Brighton win 47%, draw 25%, Aston Villa win 28%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 3. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Brighton | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.3 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 4 | ||
| 1.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.5 | ||