Brighton & Hove Albion v AFC Bournemouth, Premier League 2025–26
BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion
Kostoulas 90+1'
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 1.5 to 1.5
BournemouthAFC Bournemouth
Tavernier 32' penalty
- Date Monday, January 19, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 19. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Brighton favored. Brighton win 42%, draw 25%, Bournemouth win 33%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 19. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Brighton | Bournemouth | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.5 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.3 | ||