Burnley v Crystal Palace, Premier League 2025–26
BurnleyBurnley
Final score 0 to 1
Expected goals 0.7 to 0.4
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
Muñoz 44'
- Date Wednesday, December 3, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 3. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Crystal Palace favored. Burnley win 16%, draw 19%, Crystal Palace win 65%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 3. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Burnley | Crystal Palace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.4 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.9 | ||