Burnley v Manchester City, Premier League 2025–26
BurnleyBurnley
Final score 0 to 1
Expected goals 1.9 to 2.9
Man CityManchester City
Haaland 5'
- Date Wednesday, April 22, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 22. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Burnley win 10%, draw 18%, Man City win 72%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 22. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Burnley | Man City | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.9 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.9 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 0.9 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.9 | ||