Chelsea v AFC Bournemouth, Premier League 2025–26
ChelseaChelsea
Palmer 15' penaltyFernández 23'
Final score 2 to 2
Expected goals 2.9 to 2.3
BournemouthAFC Bournemouth
Brooks 6'Kluivert 27'
- Date Tuesday, December 30, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 30. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 52%, draw 22%, Bournemouth win 26%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 30. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chelsea | Bournemouth | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.9 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.3 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.1 | ||