Everton v Brentford, Premier League 2025–26
EvertonEverton
Beto 66'Barry 90+1'
Final score 2 to 4
Expected goals 1.1 to 2.2
BrentfordBrentford
Thiago 11', 51', 88'Collins 50'
- Date Sunday, January 4, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 4. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Brentford favored. Everton win 35%, draw 27%, Brentford win 38%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Everton | Brentford | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.2 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 4 | ||
| 0.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.1 | ||