Leeds United v Liverpool, Premier League 2025–26
LeedsLeeds United
Calvert-Lewin 73' penaltyStach 75'Tanaka 90+6'
Final score 3 to 3
Expected goals 2.0 to 1.6
LiverpoolLiverpool
Ekitike 48', 50'Szoboszlai 80'
- Date Saturday, December 6, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 6. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Liverpool favored. Leeds win 26%, draw 22%, Liverpool win 52%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 6. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Leeds | Liverpool | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.6 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 1.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.2 | ||