Manchester City v Chelsea, Premier League 2025–26
Man CityManchester City
Reijnders 42'
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 1.8 to 1.7
ChelseaChelsea
Fernández 90+4'
- Date Sunday, January 4, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 4. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 58%, draw 21%, Chelsea win 21%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man City | Chelsea | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.7 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.3 | ||