Newcastle United v Aston Villa, Premier League 2025–26
NewcastleNewcastle United
Final score 0 to 2
Expected goals 1.5 to 1.6
Aston VillaAston Villa
Buendía 19'Watkins 88'
- Date Sunday, January 25, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 25. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 50%, draw 25%, Aston Villa win 25%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 25. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Newcastle | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.6 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.4 | ||