Newcastle United v Crystal Palace, Premier League 2025–26
NewcastleNewcastle United
Guimarães 71'Thiaw 78'
Final score 2 to 0
Expected goals 1.6 to 1.3
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
- Date Sunday, January 4, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 4. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 49%, draw 24%, Crystal Palace win 27%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Newcastle | Crystal Palace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.3 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 1.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.2 | ||