Sunderland v Newcastle United, Premier League 2025–26
SunderlandSunderland
Woltemade 46' (OG)
Final score 1 to 0
Expected goals 0.3 to 0.4
NewcastleNewcastle United
- Date Sunday, December 14, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 14. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Sunderland win 28%, draw 27%, Newcastle win 45%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 14. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Sunderland | Newcastle | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.4 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 1.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.2 | ||