West Ham United v Aston Villa, Premier League 2025–26
West HamWest Ham United
Fernandes 1'Bowen 24'
Final score 2 to 3
Expected goals 0.9 to 0.4
Aston VillaAston Villa
Mavropanos 9' (OG)Rogers 50', 79'
- Date Sunday, December 14, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 14. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. West Ham win 28%, draw 25%, Aston Villa win 47%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 14. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| West Ham | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.9 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.4 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 1.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.8 | ||