West Ham United v Brighton & Hove Albion, Premier League 2025–26
West HamWest Ham United
Bowen 10'Paquetá 45+4' penalty
Final score 2 to 2
Expected goals 1.9 to 2.7
BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion
Welbeck 32' penaltyVeltman 61'
- Date Tuesday, December 30, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 30. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Brighton favored. West Ham win 30%, draw 24%, Brighton win 46%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 30. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| West Ham | Brighton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.9 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.7 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.0 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.9 | ||