Atlanta United FC v New England Revolution
Final score 1 to 2
Expected goals 2.6 to 0.9
- Date
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 22. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Atlanta favored. Atlanta win 47%, draw 25%, New England win 28%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 22. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Atlanta | New England | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.6 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 0.9 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 2.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.5 | ||
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Miami | 1 | +21 | 59 | |
| 3 | New England | 1 | +9 | 58 | |
| 4 | Chicago | 1 | +11 | 55 | |
| 12 | Toronto | 1 | −12 | 39 | |
| 13 | Atlanta | 1 | −14 | 33 | |
| 14 | D.C. United | 1 | −21 | 33 |
